ISSN(Online): 2736-0040 ISSN(Print): 2695-1975
Abstract
The limited engagement of financial institutions in providing loans and advances to oil palm
enterprises under the Agricultural Credit Guarantee Scheme (ACGS) has impeded the sustainable
development of these enterprises. This study examined the trends in ACGS loan guarantees,
repayments, and outreach to oil palm beneficiaries in Nigeria from 1981 to 2022. The analysis
utilized time series data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria's statistical bulletin. Both
exponential and quadratic trend equations were estimated using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
method. The findings indicated a positive exponential growth rate for the value of guaranteed loans
(25.05%), repaid loans (15.20%), and the number of beneficiaries (7.37%) over the specified period.
The quadratic trend equations suggested stagnation in growth rates over time for both guaranteed
loans and repayments by beneficiaries. Furthermore, the quadratic analysis indicated a significant
deceleration in growth over a double time period, suggesting that the growth occurred at a
diminishing rate. It is recommended that the volume of ACGS loans allocated to the oil palm sector be
increased in accordance with the prevailing inflation rate, and that the selection of beneficiaries be
refined to ensure that only genuine applicants are identified.