ISSN(Online): 2736-0040 ISSN(Print): 2695-1975
Abstract
The study examined the relationship between bank non-performing loan and crop sub-sector’s
performance in Nigeria. Time series data were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Food and
Agricultural Organization (FAO) and World Bank. Exponential trend equation, a time dependent multiple
regression model and Autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDLM) were used to analysed the data.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller-Generalized Least Squares (ADF-GLS) and Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)
were used to check the stationarity or unit root of series. Result of the exponential trend analysis revealed
that crop production (CRP) showed positive significant associations with time, whereas non-performing
loans (NPL) showed negative significant associations with time. The estimated results of ADF-GLS
showed that while inflation rate was stationary at level (1(0)), other variables were stationary at the first
difference (1(1)). The estimated results of ADF showed that inflation rate and exchange rate were
stationary at level (1(0)), while other variables were stationary at the first difference 1(1). Results also
revealed that NPL had a negative impact on crop subsector production in both long and short run.